Serenity rooms, drone jammers and reinforced steel doors: how the super-rich fortify their homes

By Mick Brown

Along with extreme wealth comes extreme security costs

A few years ago an international businessman – we’ll call him Hugo for the sake of discretion – was involved in the oil business in Latin America where he lived. He was doing well, winning tenders ‘in ways most of my rivals hated’. In a bid to discredit him, the rivals started planting stories in the media designed to blacken his name. Then the newspapers began publishing his address and pictures of his wife and family. “At that stage I had to make a decision whether to hire a squad of bodyguards or leave. I left.”

The bodyguards came later.

Roll on a couple of years and Hugo bought a company in another Latin-American country, rated one of the most unstable and dangerous in the world. His wealth alone would have been enough to bring unwanted attention, but in a volatile country, where the line between business and crime is a fine one and often crossed, the risk of kidnap or murder became real.

Hugo did not live in the country, but would fly in regularly for meetings, staying for two or three days at a time. This is how it worked: through a London security company, he hired a group of security professionals, ex-SAS and Royal Military Police – universally recognised as the best trained and most professional protection money can buy. A bodyguard would be waiting as he stepped off the plane and would accompany him to a waiting car and driver, parked at the closest point to the exit. “You wouldn’t know he was security. He wouldn’t be carrying a gun or have a radio in his hand or anything like that. The idea would be not to call too much attention to me or him.”

In the car, Hugo would be briefed on a ‘safety word’ (in one instance, Titanic) – to be used in any situation necessitating “getting the hell out of there as quickly as possible. Most people,” he says, “think security is about your guys fighting the other guys. It’s not. It’s about extracting you in one piece.”

Following an itinerary, he would check in to a hotel, taking a corner suite and booking either the entire floor or rooms immediately adjacent with a body-guard posted in each. All rooms would have been swept for bugs beforehand. One guard would stand outside his suite; another would be downstairs, watching people come in or out. For meetings in the hotel, everybody would be searched going in and have their mobile phones taken. If Hugo had to travel anywhere it would be in a bulletproofed vehicle, with two bodyguards and a driver. Wherever he was going would have been reconnoitred beforehand.

On one occasion, one of his business partners was travelling with three UK-trained security guards when the car was surrounded by a group of armed men, demanding to know their business. Rather than pulling their own guns, two of the security men calmly stepped out of the car and started photographing the group, who were so unsettled that they left. “It was incredible,” says Hugo. “The security guys knew how to read these things and exactly what to do.”

On another occasion, a gang was attempting to steal some documents from a car. They were confronted. Shots were fired and two of the thieves were killed. “It was serious stuff. And then, in countries like that, you don’t hang around for the police.” The security men skipped over the border to a neighbouring country and were flown out. Hugo estimates that he was spending around $200,000 (£144,000) a month on personal protection. “But it was worth it.”

Mayfair, Kensington, St John’s Wood and the Cotswolds aren’t Central or South America, but if you’re very rich things can still get a little sketchy, and in times of uncertainty help may be required.

In 2019, the UK market in security was worth over £13 billion. And Britain, says Philip Ingram, a security consultant and the head of content of the International Security Expo, held each year at Olympia in London, is seen as ‘the gold standard’, exporting more than £7 billion worth of material and expertise. “The Middle East in particular loves taking all the standards and processes the UK has developed and applying them there,” he says.

The International Security Expo brings together some 250 exhibitors and attracts security companies, architects looking for the latest technologies to design into buildings and public spaces, and representatives of government organisations who, as Ingram puts it, “won’t necessarily hand you a business card”.

But the exhibits on display – perimeter intruder-detection systems, technical-surveillance countermeasures, buried intrusion detectors – hold a particular interest for that mysterious group known as ultra-high-net-worth individuals. Silicon Valley titans, Russian oligarchs, Middle Eastern potentates, lucky hedge-fund managers, the odd minted celebrity: if they’re not worrying about getting more money, they’re worrying about how to hold on to what they’ve got.

Earlier this year it was revealed that Facebook paid $23.4 million (£17 million) in 2020 to cover the security costs of its co-founder Mark Zuckerberg and his family, both at home and while travelling, in order to mitigate ‘identified specific threats’. Zuckerberg, who bought the four homes neighbouring his main residence in Palo Alto, California, to ensure his privacy, is guarded round the clock by armed protection officers and a security team that carries out a reconnaissance of wherever he is going, and he has bullet-resistant windows in his office.

There are few people who can match Zuckerberg’s £97 billion fortune – only Jeff Bezos, Elon Musk and Bernard Arnault and family, to be precise. But for the other 2,751 billionaires in the world – and those struggling along with only hundreds or tens of millions to their name, wealth brings not only luxury but also fear.

A recent survey by the property consultant Knight Frank revealed that London has the most so-called ‘prime’ homes of any city in the world, with more than 68,000 properties valued at £2 million-plus. Meanwhile, crime figures in the UK continue to rise. There were 299,868 reported burglaries in 2020, with robberies at 68,095 and vehicle crimes at 371,278. There has also been a huge increase in cyber attacks in the past year, with a 300 per cent year-on-year rise in ransomware episodes.

These are figures that inculcate a sense of rising unease among the rich. A recent survey of high-net-worth individuals, by the security company Chubb, showed that on average 28 per cent felt more vulnerable at home, at work and travelling than five years ago. And the single greatest fear was of violent home invasion.

“The world’s becoming a more threatening place,” says Jack Mann, who runs Alma Risk, a company specialising in personal protection. “People want to keep their families safe, and they’re prepared to go to pretty extravagant lengths to do that.” Just how extravagant might that be?

Imagine for a moment that you are that Indian billionaire or Russian oligarch – or perhaps one of the 52 Hong Kong residents newly arrived in Britain, fleeing China’s new state-security laws, who have been granted a so-called golden visa after promising to invest at least £2 million in the UK. You’ve bought your house in Kensington or Hampstead, but your pride and joy is your new estate in the Cotswolds – not far, perhaps, from the £6 million property owned by David and Victoria Beckham, which masked thieves attempted to burgle in 2018. You are often away making more money, leaving your wife or husband at home with the children. What to do?

Philip Dowds is the MD of Okto Technologies, which develops and instals smart systems in homes and businesses. For a ‘360 degree shield’ and to keep any threat ‘as far away as possible’, he suggests the following.

Firstly, there is perimeter defence, comprising three elements: radar, thermal cameras to pick up body heat, and underground pressure sensors detecting anyone jumping over the wall. All of these would be integrated into a smart system that would eliminate the possibility of a false alarm being triggered by a fox or a badger. Anyone attempting to smash through the main gate in a truck would be met with a reinforced steel door capable of withstanding an impact at 40mph.

In the unlikely event of a breach in the outer defences, Dowds says, the super-wealthy will probably have their own security team on hand. (The raid on the Beckhams’ home was averted after their security staff spotted the intruders on CCTV, but not before the invaders had propped a ladder up to peer into an upstairs bedroom.) Lacking that, the occupier would be woken by an alarm, and have a control pad on hand to activate high-intensity security lights – imagine going from total darkness to the floodlights in a football stadium – along with loudspeakers, set at 110 decibels (as loud as a riveting machine), barking out a warning message. All of which is designed to make the intruder back off.

In the meantime, those inside have retreated to the panic room (or ‘serenity room’, as Dowds prefers). The old-fashioned panic room, he says, would usually be a bathroom or other small space, suitably reinforced. “But if your wife and family are locked in a small bathroom and they think people are attacking them, they’re not going to be very calm.”

A ‘serenity room’, on the other hand, will be the master bedroom, or a similarly familiar and comfortable area, specially customised – the walls lined with Kevlar, the doors made of reinforced steel, the windows bulletproof. Just as important, he says, will be ‘fully diverse communication’: separate phone lines buried deep inside the building and running in different directions in case the burglars or kidnappers have cut the obvious lines, with Wi-Fi, 5G and satellite channels to the outside world. Scented candles and piped new-age music to soothe jangled nerves are optional.

Then there’s the drone threat. It is estimated that one third of all the world’s 10 million drone flights a year have a criminal element. The latest perimeter-protection technology can alert a homeowner or their security team when a drone is heading towards them. And those who want can apply for government permission to allow them to locate the pilot and jam the communication system, causing the drone to fail, while at the same time notifying the authorities of the pilot’s whereabouts.

A complete home-defence system costs up to £1 million. A more modest package of perimeter protection with thermal cameras and radar, the lights and speakers, and a direct connection to the police ‘won’t blow the budget,’ according to Dowds – at about £100,000. He is working on a security system costing £2 million for a London property worth more than £150 million, for a client who will be there for only five or six weeks a year.

Can he tell me where it is? Dowds laughs. “No.”

Camilla Dell, the founder of luxury property agent Black Brick, which deals in London homes worth up to £20 million, says she is often surprised at how little security there is in older properties coming on to the market. “In a lot of the houses around The Bishops Avenue and Hampstead Garden Suburb it’s often just a burglar alarm and old-fashioned iron bars at the window.

“Where I do see security taken quite seriously is if you’re looking at a house owned by somebody who potentially could be under physical threat.” Ultra-high-net-worth Russians, for example, Dell says, “will often have bulletproof doors”.

What is also unexpected, she adds, is how little “very wealthy, very successful business people” know about security. “They tend to think in very simplistic terms: is this neighbourhood safe; what’s the crime rate? Does it have electric gates? If those boxes are ticked, they often won’t think beyond that. We always advise them to get a security firm to look where the weaknesses are and come up with a plan.” Recently, Dell hired a security team just to accompany her on viewings with a prospective woman buyer “who was very much in the public eye, in a negative way”.

“Technology is moving so fast that even security systems fitted two years ago may be outdated,” says Mann, who served with the Household Cavalry in Iraq and Afghanistan before setting up Alma Risk. “You would need to instal a system that is hardwired into the structure of the house and to change all the locks and alarms, because whoever was previously working there – cleaners or caretakers – might have access to existing systems.”

Screening your own staff is essential, and so is keeping them happy. A large proportion of break-ins and security breaches can be traced to disgruntled current or former employees.

“It’s the same principle as running a hedge fund in Mayfair dealing with sensitive information,” Mann says. “Everyone goes home in the evening, the office cleaners come in and someone hasn’t logged off properly, there’s some stuff in the wastepaper basket or left on the whiteboard… Generally speaking, no one has any idea who’s cleaning their office.”

Sweeping a house for eavesdropping devices – technical-surveillance countermeasures – is “another tick on the list for a happy client”.

Even the security systems installed for your protection become a threat in the wrong hands. Baby monitors can be hacked by mischief makers – stories abound of distressed parents hearing a voice coming over the monitor issuing expletives and threats, and rushing into the room to find there’s nobody there except a soundly sleeping child. “High-net-worth individuals will tend to have the latest gadgets, and the latest gadgets have security risks associated with them,” says Ingram. “Your internet-connected television, toaster or fridge could give someone a route into your network, and sophisticated hackers use people’s own security systems to target when they’re not in the home. These things need to be set up properly.”

“There’s a lot of technology on the market, and you can bolster up your house like a castle if you want to,” says Dom Whitmore, the operations director of Alma Risk, who spent over 20 years in the British Army. “But for the most intelligent, determined and driven criminal, there is always a way to navigate through that.” When thieves stole a reported £25 million in jewellery from Tamara Ecclestone’s Kensington home in 2019, they were able to evade the security and spend an hour undisturbed breaking into bedroom safes.

“It’s the mitigating procedures a security organisation implements that do the real work, and those constantly need reviewing,” Whitmore says.

Kidnapping, particularly of children, is another fear. There were about 1,100 child-abduction offences recorded by the police in England and Wales in 2019/20, 161 fewer than the previous year. There are no figures to differentiate how many of these were the result of domestic or custody disputes rather than ransom attempts, which often go unreported after being settled privately.

The security market abounds with all manner of devices to keep track of children, from wrist-worn GPS trackers to chips that can be sewn into clothing. But, as Mann points out, they offer no guarantee of safety.

“Children change their clothes a lot. You’d have to have a hell of a lot of trackers. If a child is taken and the kidnapper suspects there’s a tracker, they’ll just [remove it from] their wrist or change the clothes. The real question is, who’s monitoring that tracker? And what happens after it’s activated?” GPS tracker implants remain the stuff of fiction; there are no trackers small enough to implant into a child, and even if there were, recharging the battery would present a problem.

And as for prized possessions: what’s wrong with keeping the Monet or Warhol in a safe, or stashed away in a Zurich free port, and hanging a replica on the wall to fool visitors? And why not do the same with jewellery, when you can commission almost identical replicas?

The F1 racing driver Lando Norris may think again about choosing a timepiece from his safe after he had his wristwatch, worth £40,000, stolen by a group of thugs as he was approaching his McLaren sports car following the Euro final at Wembley. Which is where close protection comes in. Typically, hiring a personal bodyguard can cost anywhere between £500 and £1,500 a day. The stereotype of a pair of heavily muscled, shaven-headed goons in black suits is only for Chechen arms dealers and wannabe A-listers aiming to draw attention to themselves. The best security companies employ personnel so discreet you wouldn’t know they were there at all.

“Close protection is a skill,” Whitmore says. “Experienced protection officers are always anticipating what their client is going to do and considering, ‘What if X happens?’ It’s the way they dress, the way they hold themselves; it’s being streetwise. If someone is out shopping they might want the close protection to keep their distance; if they’re walking their dog at 10.30 at night they prefer to keep them near, looking like a couple.”

The more ostentatious your wealth, the greater the risk. Those who are in the business of showing off, not to mention footballers with Instagram accounts displaying pictures of their homes and supercars, are a particularly inviting target for thieves. In March, the Everton and Sweden goalkeeper Robin Olsen was held at knifepoint in front of his wife and children when thieves broke into his Cheshire home, making off with jewellery and a watch. A few weeks earlier two masked men burgled the home of the Everton manager, Carlo Ancelotti, while his daughter was said to be alone inside.

The best protection is not necessarily to instal radar, but to remain below it.

 

Where demand for homes is falling fastest and house price growth could slow

By Melissa Lawford

Stamp duty savings have disappeared and the race for space is receding – is the housing market returning to normal?

The property market is at a crossroads. For the past year, homes have been selling quickly at sky high prices, while buyers have been battling an army of gazumpers.

But now pent-up demand has run its course and stamp duty holiday savings have all but disappeared. A chronic shortage of supply is bolstering prices, but the post-Covid frenzy is starting to dissipate.

London, where higher values meant buyers benefited from the biggest stamp duty savings, is changing first.

Property website Zoopla found that of the 15 postcodes that recorded the biggest drops in demand across Britain, 10 were in the capital.

It compared demand from April 5 to July 25, when buyers were unlikely to be able to take advantage of the original stamp duty holiday, with the preceding 16-week period when the tax break was boosting the market. It measured buyer demand using a combination of searches and inquiries.

In London’s SW and E postcodes buyer demand fell by 26.5pc. Cory Askew, of Chestertons estate agents, said: “The absolute peak of demand was at the end of March when the stamp duty holiday was extended”.

“Then there was a steady decline in inquiries through April, May and June – levels were much lower than in 2020, but higher than in 2019. It is a normalised market.”

In almost all cases in the top 15, buyer demand was still significantly above the average in the same period in 2017 to 2019. In south-west London, where a rush for space and gardens drove massive spikes in sales in the likes of Barnes and Kew, demand was still up 17pc on the pre-Covid level. But the numbers show a gear shift.

The race for space seems to be receding. In Camden, demand is transferring to flats, said Mr Askew. “That market is predominantly first-time buyers who are feeling a lot more secure in their job prospects.”

But other parts of the capital are grappling with problems that the stamp duty holiday rush previously concealed. In the EC postcode, which encompasses areas such as Shoreditch and the City of London, demand fell by 19.5pc, and is now 12.6pc below the 2017 to 2019 average. “The engine is the City, and most firms have given no mandate for workers to come back to the office full time,” Mr Askew said.

Polat Ali, of Hunters estate agents in Shoreditch, said: “We had the busiest June ever. But then July and the start of August was extremely quiet. We had two offers in five weeks. Usually we have five per month.”

Now that the time pressure of the stamp duty holiday has gone, the problems of the cladding crisis are also becoming more apparent. East London has a large concentration of high rise blocks and many flat sales simply cannot happen because lenders require external wall safety (EWS1) forms before they can offer mortgages. “Probably 20pc of properties we see we just won’t take on,” said Mr Ali.

Meanwhile, London developers are scrambling to fill the affordabilty gap left by the stamp duty cash savings. Peter Gibney, of JLL, a property firm, said that many are now offering to pay stamp duty bills in full.

In outer London areas, such as Twickenham and Enfield, demand also fell, but this dip was partly because the peak was so high. In Kingston-upon-Thames, demand fell 21.8pc between the two periods studied, but it was still up 96.5pc versus the pre-Covid average.

By contrast, in the most expensive areas of central London, which suffered heavily during the pandemic, demand is now rising as international travel restrictions lift.

Camilla Dell, of buying agent Black Brick, said: “For the first time in a year and a half, I’m meeting up with clients from Dubai, Qatar, Saudi Arabia. They are looking for holiday homes and good long-term investments in Mayfair, South Kensington, Knightsbridge and Chelsea.”

Outside London, demand also fell significantly in parts of the North East. Property prices in the region rose by 15.3pc in the year to June, the second-highest rate in the country, according to the Office for National Statistics.

In Newcastle upon Tyne and the Cleveland and Teesside, demand fell by 18.7pc and 18.5pc respectively. In Darlington, in County Durham, buyer demand fell by 27.1pc, the largest drop in the country. But the level of demand was still historically high – 53pc above the average in the same period across 2017 to 2019.

Emma Wick, of Bridgfords estate agents in Darlington, said there has been a dramatic change in who is buying. “Earlier in the year, the market was primarily driven by families who wanted or needed to move for more space.” These movers accounted for half the market 16 weeks ago.

“Now, everybody who wanted to move for homeworking or lifestyle changes has done so,” said Ms Wick. “The world is becoming a bit more normal.”

Home movers now account for only a fifth of sales, she said. Instead, investors, who had made up only 10pc of the market, now account for half of buyers.

A change in the type of homes for sale has been key, said Ms Wick. “Now a lot of the properties we are selling are empty. There has been an increase in mortgage repossessions, which were banned during the pandemic, and landlords are offloading rental stock because prices are at an all time high.”

Why Britain’s punitive tax system risks deterring Middle East property investors

By Alice Haine

Experts say rising tax rates make residential homes less attractive to wealthy foreign buyers.

When the UK applied a stamp duty surcharge to overseas property investors in April this year, tax advisors and property consultants were flooded with enquiries from concerned buyers.

The big question for many was whether the 2 per cent increase in stamp duty for non-resident buyers made investing in Britain’s residential property market worth while.

But for clients contacting the tax advisory arm of global company The Sovereign Group, there was an even bigger shock in store. As well as a rise in stamp duty costs on new purchases, their tax liability on existing homes was also far higher than they realised.

Overseas buyers purchasing a property in their own name are now subject to a stamp duty levy of up to 17 per cent on homes worth more than £1.5 million ($2.08 million), higher than the maximum 15 per cent rate payable by UK residents.

However, high net worth investors, who choose to invest through company structures to reduce their tax burden, now face charges of 17 per cent.

In addition, those who invested through offshore structures must consider a raft of other taxes on their property portfolios – from capital gains tax (CGT) if they sell, to an annual tax on enveloped dwellings (Ated), and inheritance tax (IHT) of 40 per cent if the owner dies.

These levies have all been applied by the UK government over the past decade to prevent overseas buyers from escaping their tax obligations.

“The tax charges are punitive now and it’s getting to a stage where the UK property market is slightly less attractive than it once was,” Laurence Lancaster, group head of tax at The Sovereign Group, which advises high net worth clients around the globe, told The National.

“We are seeing clients invest less in property and choosing other investments.”

Britain’s property market has long been attractive to overseas investors who enjoy the country’s secure legal system, cosmopolitan lifestyle and high-quality education. London is a particular draw for Gulf-based investors, who enjoy the city’s cooler temperatures during the summer months as well as the many parks and cultural attractions for families.

The super-wealthy spent more on luxury homes in London last year than in any other city in the world, according to April data from property consultancy Knight Frank, shelling out almost $4 billion on super-prime properties.

However, that figure could be even higher this year with UAE buyers now able to enter the country more easily after the Emirates was moved from the red list to amber last week. Before then, UAE residents were prevented from viewing homes because entry into the UK required a 10-day quarantine in an airport hotel on arrival.

Property agents and developers are expecting a surge in transactions as buyers jet in to view properties they have already shortlisted online.

But Mr Lancaster said some buyers may consider their purchases more carefully in light of the higher tax burden.

“It’s the taxes that have to be paid immediately, such as stamp duty and CGT, that have created the interest from clients,” Mr Lancaster said.

“But there are many clients who are non-UK domiciled and sitting on offshore companies with property they maybe bought in the 1990s or 1980s and they’re not aware that they’ve got this looming inheritance tax problem.”

The overhaul to the UK taxation system first started in 2012 when the government clamped down on non-UK domiciles buying residential properties through offshore structures – even where the property was for personal use – to avoid IHT and stamp duty.

A 15 per cent stamp duty charge was applied to high-value homes acquired by a company. Then a year later, in 2013, the government rolled out the annual tax on enveloped dwellings, again to prevent tax avoidance from those with complicated company structures.

“Originally, Ated applied to properties worth £2m or more. Then it was extended to properties worth half a million or more with different charges that get higher the higher the value of a property,” said Mr Lancaster.

In 2015, corporation tax of 19 per cent was applied to the company sale of residential property, while CGT was applied to all overseas investors for the first time.

A change in the law around IHT came in April 2017, with those holding homes in company structures to avoid the tax made subject to the full 40 per cent hit on their death.

“The problem with inheritance tax is that most clients don’t expect to die, so it is a tax that is kicked down the turf to a later date,” Mr Lancaster said.

“We did send out memos, gave tax advice and had solutions in place before 2017, but not all clients wanted to pay for the tax advice that was needed.”

The taxation changes were necessary, experts say, because the overseas structures allowed buyers to sell and transfer the shares in their companies without paying stamp duty or CGT.

“It was a sort of free-for-all, as far as non-dom investors were concerned, with copious amounts of tax avoidance,” Mr Lancaster said.

“You can understand why the UK government decided to take action in 2012, but now they’ve gone too far because non-doms are actually taxed more heavily than their UK counterparts.”

Camilla Dell, managing partner at Black Brick, which helps Middle East investors purchase property in the UK, said wealthy buyers expect to pay high levels of tax when buying in a leading global city.

“Whether you are buying property in New York, London, Hong Kong, Singapore or Sydney – there is significant tax and other additional costs, such as agency fees, to pay,” she said.

The cost of buying, holding and selling a property in London in 2021 is actually cheaper than 15 other global cities, according to data from property consultancy Savills, with Vancouver the most expensive option for investors, followed by Hong Kong in second place and Singapore in third.

Rising taxation has certainly not put off investors, said Sean Ellis, chairman of developer St William and St James, which has a number of new developments on offer in the new Nine Elms district of South London as well as Fulham.

At the company’s marketing suite for its Prince of Wales Drive development in Battersea, there has already been a slight increase in Middle East investors viewing homes, with many holidaying in Europe to get round the UK’s strict isolation requirements.

“In terms of owning a property in a world city, London is still relatively cheap. Yes it is expensive but in comparison to buying in Paris, Rome or Hong Kong or any of the world’s cities, it’s still relatively good value. The transaction costs are not as high as they are in other parts of the world,” Mr Ellis said.

He said the rise in stamp duty is the first time in his 30-year career he has seen a different tax regime applied to overseas buyers.

Interestingly, he said, the stamp duty holiday, which offered a saving of up to £15,000 on the first £500,000 of a purchase, created a surge in demand for luxury homes from overseas buyers.

“All our buyers wanted to save that money. I was surprised,” he said

Ms Dell says it is too early to tell if the latest stamp duty surcharge will hamper demand.

The rise has so far been offset by the stamp duty holiday, but the tax break now applies to only the first £250,000 of a purchase price and will disappear entirely on September 30

“My instinct is that the additional 2 per cent will be less of a concern to ultra high net worth buyers, but may cause pause for thought amongst lower value purchasers,” she said.

“I think most overseas buyers buying in London today are attracted by the fact that property prices in the capital are down 20 per cent since the peak of the market in 2014. Combine this fact with cheap borrowing rates, a weaker pound and good prospects for capital appreciation over the next five years of 20 per cent to 25 per cent forecasted, then an additional 2 per cent surcharge becomes more palatable.”

One tax her clients are “acutely aware of”, however, is IHT.

The regulatory change in 2017 that led to the 40 per cent tax also being applied to company structures meant that overseas investors could no longer get around the levy.

“Some people would like to refer to it as a loophole, but it’s not really a loophole, it was really just extending the tax net to attack these structures,” Mr Lancaster said.

However, Ms Dell said there are a number of legitimate ways to minimise IHT, such as borrowing on purchase, life insurance, trusts, and gifting before death.

“We always advise our clients to seek professional tax advice to plan for this. Since all the tax changes came in we see far less corporate structures being used when buying property. Most clients now buy in their own personal names,” she said.

Henry Faun, partner and head of Knight Frank’s Middle East private office, said while he urges his clients to consider taxation at the start of a property search, rising rates in the UK are “not a deterrent” yet.

“As opposed to being put off buying, we have seen our Middle East clients take a longer-term horizon,” he said.

“Perhaps they were looking to buy and own a family home in the UK for five years before. Now that’s got to be 10-plus years to make it worthwhile and ensure that stamp duty has been offset over a larger timeframe.”

Mr Faun said clients also increasingly buy in their own names, rather than through a company, and add several family names to the ownership of a property to offset Ased and IHT, while CGT is actually viewed as a positive because it indicates the asset has gained in value.

Another tactic to offset taxation is buyers choosing to buy several lower-priced units rather than a more expensive, larger unit, to reduce the stamp duty burden.

“If you purchase more than six residential units in a single transaction, that is considered for stamp duty purposes as a commercial transaction, so stamp duty drops from the higher levels of 17 per cent down to approximately 5 per cent or less,” Mr Faun said.

While Mr Lancaster fears the prime market may suffer if buyers switch to lower-priced properties or to another investment vehicle altogether, Mr Faun said the shift is actually heading in a different direction.

“Typically the type of conversation I have is ‘let’s not buy somewhere and incur the stamp duty, why don’t we rent instead’,” he said.

“It’s not about finding an alternative to buying in the UK, it’s usually a buying versus renting conversation.”

Are you a super-snooper? 60% of Britons admit to looking up house prices of friends, colleagues and lovers – and a quarter have ditched partners based on their findings

By Jane Denton

  • Six in ten Britons try to find out how much people they know paid for a home
  • Friends, family, lovers and colleagues are all of interest to property ‘snoopers’ 
  • Buying agent tells This is Money people ‘always’ want to know this sort of data 
  • Find out how you can  track down property sold prices near you now

Nearly 60 per cent of Britons have tried to find out how much people they know spent on their latest property purchase, new figures have revealed.

While few believe it is acceptable to ask someone what they paid for a home outright, the vast majority have adopted under-the-radar tactics to discover what family, friends, ‘frenemies’, neighbours, colleagues and even potential partners paid for their homes.

Twenty-four per cent of people admitted they had even called time on a relationship after finding out the value of their partner’s home, according to Zoopla.

People also use ‘super-snooping’ tactics, which include searching for sale records online, to see how much a home they want to buy was last sold for, or to track what has happened to the price tag of a property they used to live in.

‘People always want to know what others have paid for a property’, Camilla Dell, managing partner at Black Brick Property Solutions, told This is Money.

While the majority of people are activity snooping, 65 per cent said they would never admit to the owner that they had researched their property’s sold price.

Neighbours, friends and family member’s homes are the most likely targets for super-snoopers, but 11 per cent said they had also looked up what a colleague paid for a property.

Three in ten said they were able to make assumptions about their colleagues’ pay packets after finding out how much they were able to fork out for their home.

One in ten people said they had even checked out the value of the home of a prospective, current or former partner.

Nearly a third said they continued to date someone they would have otherwise ditched after viewing the price tag of their home online. For people aged between 35 to 44, this figure rose to 46 per cent.

Around half of people said seeing a partner’s property value ‘encouraged’ them to keep dating someone, rising to 63 per cent for men.

But a quarter of people said they had called time on a relationship after viewing the value of their partner’s home.

The emotions stirred by seeing how much someone has paid for a home can be complicated, and 11 per cent admitted they felt jealous after seeing the figures involved.

However, 10 per cent said they respected the person more after seeing their property’s value, while 9 per cent said they felt they liked the person more than before.

Tom Parker, consumer spokesperson for Zoopla. said: ‘Buttoned up Brits love talking about house prices – but for most, asking someone straight up what they paid for their home is still considered a taboo.

‘But how much a house sold for is publicly available information and is easy to source online.

‘Whether it’s your boss, a friend or even a potential partner, it’s clear we want to know more about the homes they live in and will often treat them differently as a result.’

Buying agents will often go to great lengths to help their clients find out what other people paid for a home they are interested in.

Camilla Dell added: ‘As buying agents, before we submit an offer on a property, we always do a comprehensive “buying report” for our clients.

‘Within the report we highlight relevant comparable sales. It’s all about the price per square foot – the price paid divided by the internal square footage.

‘This gives our clients a pretty good idea if the price they are paying is reasonable or not, and also aids us with our negotiations.

‘We obtain data via Lonres – an industry-only database for agents, and the Land Registry.

‘For off-plan sales, obtaining comparable sales data is a lot more difficult as sales will only appear on the Land Registry once they have completed which could be years away.’

Last month, data from the Office for National Statics revealed that average house prices across the country increased by 10 per cent in the year to May.

Some buyers fear they paid too much for their latest property, after savings from the stamp duty holiday were eaten up by soaring price tags.

The main stamp duty holiday applicable on homes up to £500,000 ended on 30 June.

Until 30 September the nil rate band will be £250,000. It will then return to the standard amount of £125,000 on 1 October.

17 ways to renovate your garage

By Jayne Dowle

Where do you park yours? Even if you are lucky enough to have a garage, more than half (53 per cent) of homeowners with garages manoeuvred out the car, typically because family saloons and SUVs are now too large to get in and out.

Britain’s most popular cars have grown by a third in the last half a century — typical models on sale today are 1.8m wide, but the average garage door width is just 2.1m. Fitting into a garage built for a Ford Anglia is proving a tight squeeze.

“Domestic garages are often unfit for their intended purpose,” says Steve Gooding, director at the RAC Foundation, a motoring research group. “The planning system needs to recognise that garage design needs to catch up with vehicle design, or throw in the towel and recognise that they are, in practice, garden sheds waiting to be converted to provide extra accommodation.”

Done properly, a garage conversion, built on an existing footprint and without compromising garden space, is almost a guaranteed return on investment — a converted garage can add between 10 and 15 per cent to a home’s value, according to Virgin Money. “As house prices increase, the value of the converted space relative to build costs improves and is a strong incentive to undertake a project,” says Michael Holmes, spokesman for the Homebuilding and Renovating Show. So, what will drive your project?

  1. Kitchen

Helen Parker, creative director of deVOL, a kitchen company (devolkitchens.co.uk), says: “Knocking two rooms into one is just the start, once you see the space in reality or on a plan you suddenly see the possibilities for reorganising your life to give you more of what you need and really make the space work for you.”

That extra space can provide scope for a large central island unit or over-sized table, Parker says: “Or there’s the option to create and reposition walls to create corners for a separate walk-in pantry.”

  1. Annexe for granny

Creating a self-contained home for a relative can solve multi-generational living and add serious value to a property, between 20 to 30 per cent, depending on the size and location, according to Property Investor Today.

It’s certainly a project calling for a stand-out design combining form and functionality. Architectural expertise can really come to the fore, creating an annex using complementary building materials and clever small-space living solutions.

  1. Extra bedroom

Turning the garage into an extra bedroom might cost around £15,000 says Mark Hood, head of new builds at Resi (resi.co.uk), peanuts compared to moving from a three-bedder to a four-bedroom family house. It’s also a project popular with those with an eye on future mobility and care needs. “Creating a ground-floor bedroom is particularly popular with older homeowners, who want to keep their essential living spaces stairs-free, but who also don’t want to give up the family home just yet,” says Hood. Privacy is a consideration. Clerestory windows are a good fix, bringing in natural light from above.

  1. Studio

Whether dedicated to a particular pursuit such as art or music, or designed as a multi-purpose work, study and exercise area — London agent Mark Pollack, co-founding director at Aston Chase estate agency calls such spaces “pandemic rooms” — a studio takes pressure off a main house and keeps the garden intact.

For most creative pursuits, natural light is the key. Roof lights are a solution, and more secure than windows. “As a rule, roof lights can’t project 150mm above the roof plane — other than that there doesn’t tend to be restrictions, but it is worth checking your local rules,” says Phil Ruffle, head of architecture at multi-disciplinary practice Munday + Cramer (mcessex.co.uk).

  1. Utility room

When you free up the garage it can have a knock-on effect on every room of the house. Take the kitchen. Do you dream of a streamlined design, but the ugly tumble dryer and washing machine stand in the way? There is a solution: the garage. The number of projects specifying multi-functional utility rooms has tripled over the past two years, according to Graeme Smith, head of retail and commercial design at Life Kitchens (life-kitchens.co.uk). “Utilities have evolved from a place to store and do laundry to space that allows homeowners to keep unsightly items such as chest freezers out of the main kitchen,” he says.

  1. Boot room

Caspar Harvard-Walls, a partner at Black Brick, a buying agency (black-brick.com), says that boot rooms, once the preserve of grand country houses, have found new popularity during the pandemic as a place to store all that newly acquired outdoor gear, plus everyday detritus of family life: “Once they were purely functional spaces, but now bespoke joinery and underfloor heating have transformed these rooms into the envy of those whose hallways are piled high with kids’ shoes, school bags and buggies.” Look to Ikea for streamlined contemporary storage systems such as the smart matt-black Bror, from £51, www.ikea.com.

  1. Dog room

If you’ve acquired a dog during lockdown, you’ll be familiar with the mess by now. A dedicated and bespoke dog room in the garage could be just what you both need. Fit a deep sink such as a Rangemaster Classic Belfast 1 Bowl White Fire Clay Ceramic, £154.99 from Tap Warehouse, tapwarehouse.com, and a spray tap. The Milano Mirage Modern Deck Mounted Pull Down Spray Kitchen Tap in chrome is £91.99 from The Big Bathroom Shop, bigbathroomshop.co.uk.

  1. Uber-storage

Hold on a minute. There’s an obvious use for any garage and that’s proper storage. Fitting industrial shelving and racking — try Big Dug, bigdug.co.uk — will help you to organise everything from Christmas decorations to camping gear. You will need to check walls and floors are sound and capable of taking heavy loads.

But the best bit? This process could free up loft, cupboard and cellar space and kickstart a whole reassessment of the internal space you have available for other improvements, such as a loft conversion, en suite or basement conversion.

  1. Potting shed/flower room

If you’ve outgrown your garden shed and your garden isn’t huge, converting the garage into a practical undercover gardening space could be a fruitful move. You might not even require a Lawful Development Certificate under permitted development, or planning permission, because the garage is essentially still being used for a utilitarian purpose with no extra services. But do check with your local council to be sure.

  1. Loggia

An attached garage can be easily converted to a loggia — an outdoor room with a roof and open sides — that evokes warm evenings in Tuscany, but with the security of a solid roof above when the heavens inevitably open.

“We’re finding an increasing number of our clients are incorporating the modern-day loggia into their property design projects,” says James Upton, managing director at Westbury Garden Rooms. “Homeowners want to introduce a loggia to create a modern entertainment space that gives their evening dinner parties and summer dining experiences some added ‘wow’ factor.”

  1. Man cave

It doesn’t have to be neon-lit or naff. Maximise wall space by choosing electric underfloor heating over radiators. Sound-proofed insulation would be welcome, especially if the garage is attached. To classify as an “outbuilding” under permitted development rules, a man-cave must not contain sleeping accommodation. It doesn’t, however, say anything about comfy leather armchairs or campbeds for the boys.

  1. Bar

File under “man cave”? Not necessarily. There are two ways to go. Treat the garage as a separate space away from the house. In which case, pay careful attention to access — you may have to rework paths and patios. You might also create an all-year-round space by taking out the back wall of the garage and replacing with bi-fold doors to open fully to the garden. Or, take a “whole house” approach. Look at extending the entire ground floor by knocking through the dividing wall and reconfiguring internal space.

  1. Gym

Lockdown prompted millions to get fit, but with gym doors locked for months garages became the go-to workout space. Rob Clarke, a director at motive8, a national gym consultancy m8group.co.uk, says a home gym in the garage saves money on fees and travel time, allows for a personalised exercise regime and is safer for social distancing. “Garages make great gyms but can be quite dark, installing a window and the use of mirrors is key to maximising light and creating a welcoming environment.” You should also pay special attention to ventilation.

  1. School room/play room

Use colour to create a stimulating yet calming environment. “While yellow is a great learning colour because of its ability to increase concentration and memory, green is a great addition because it can increase reading speed and a child’s understanding of text,” says John Hannen, spokesman for the Education Endowment Foundation, a charity (educationendowmentfoundation.org.uk). If you’re after a more calming vibe, Hannen recommends Farrow & Ball’s St Giles Blue, a clean and vivid hue.

  1. Teenage study/hangout

It might be tempting to simply shove them in and throw away the key, but creating a study/hangout space for teenagers is really a good idea because it gives them their own space. You can line the walls with funky and inexpensive plywood and hang bikes and surfboards from the rafters, but key to the success of this project is adequate electrical sockets and wi-fi provision. Always use a NICEIC-registered electrician for installations. Find one at niceic.com. Ask a local wi-fi specialist for advice on getting — and staying — online, because you’ll have to supplement existing provision for the extra room.

  1. Business premises

If you’re planning to bring the office home permanently, you might decide to set up shop in the garage. Creating a business premises means you are likely to need Change of Use approval from your local council. Also, check that there are no covenants in your deeds forbidding the use of your home as a business address. Keep future buyers in mind too, says Pollack: “As well as mains water, power and lighting, purchasers look for underfloor heating, air conditioning and fully networked and integrated spaces.”

  1. Rental accommodation

You need good planning advice here. Homeowner Christopher Pearson was recently refused permission by the Yorkshire Dales National Park authority to turn his detached garage in the village of Linton, near Skipton in the Yorkshire Dales into a one-bedroom Airbnb guest suite. Local housing need and policies favouring more sustainable visitor accommodation, such as yurts, were cited.

In Bournemouth however, Matt Annen, a director of Pure Town Planning, puretownplanning.co.uk, has achieved approval for a client’s mixed-use conversion, part Airbnb/part office. Success, he says, is partly down to retaining the façade: “There are no external additions or alterations so no changes to the physical appearance of the outbuilding in the street scene.”

Need to know

Garage conversions cost £1,400-£1,800 per sq m (excluding VAT) to a shell finish, says Michael Holmes, spokesman for the Homebuilding & Renovating Show, homebuildingshow.co.uk: “Converting a typical single garage of 18 sq m would cost £25,000-£32,500 (excluding VAT), but an integral garage to a relatively new home might cost only £18-30,000 plus VAT. A typical 33 sq m double garage would cost £46,000-£59,500 (excluding VAT).” Also factor in professional fees for architectural design and building regulations, with likely costs of £2,500-£3,500.

A garage conversion can be completed in six to eight weeks with careful planning, so make sure that materials such as doors and windows are available to suit the schedule, says Holmes. But it may take longer if remedial works need doing to the structure itself.

The responsible homeowner will always check with the local planning authority before starting a garage conversion. “If the garage door was to remain, with no other structural changes or addition of windows for example, it’s unlikely you would need permitted development rights,” says Phil Ruffle, head of architecture at Munday + Cramer. “However, removing walls, adding windows or making other significant changes would bring you into the planning realms.” Check if you can carry out the work using your rights under permitted development, for which you apply for a Lawful Development Certificate, or whether you will require to apply for planning permission. Find more information and costs here: 1app.planningportal.co.uk.

You’ll need building regulations approval for heating, lighting, insulation, damp-proofing, ventilation and fire precautions, whatever you do. “Some people leave a bit on the front so they can put their bikes in,” says Anna Thompson, spokesperson for Local Authority Building Control. “But you still need building regs approval for the bit you convert, no matter how big it is. That applies to everything and anything.”

Tell your mortgage company that you’re converting the garage, and also your buildings and contents insurer. But there is no need to inform Land Registry or have your deeds updated, unless the conversion extends the footprint of the buildings, says Matt Walker, real estate partner at law firm Gowling WLG.

End of stamp duty holiday unlikely to dent Middle East interest in British homes

By Alice Haine

Pent-up demand from the region will continue to fuel UK market, say analysts.

December 2014: Former UK chancellor of the Exchequer George Osborne reforms stamp duty land tax (SDLT), replacing the slab system with a blended rate scheme, with the top rate increasing to 12 per cent from 10 per cent:

Up to £125,000 – 0%; £125,000 to £250,000 – 2%; £250,000 to £925,000 – 5%; £925,000 to £1.5m: 10%; More than £1.5m – 12%

April 2016: New 3% surcharge applied to any buy-to-let properties or additional homes purchased.

July 2020: Chancellor Rishi Sunak unveils SDLT holiday, with no tax to pay on the first £500,000, with buyers saving up to £15,000.

March 2021: Mr Sunak extends the SDLT holiday at his March 3 budget until the end of June.

April 2021: 2% SDLT surcharge added to property transactions made by overseas buyers.

June 2021: SDLT holiday on transactions up to £500,000 expires on June 30.

July 2021: Tax break on transactions between £125,000 to £250,000 starts on July 1 and runs until September 30.

For buyers of UK property hoping to cash in on a government tax break, completing the transaction is a race against time.

The stamp duty land tax holiday in England and Northern Ireland, which was first unveiled by Chancellor of the Exchequer Rishi Sunak in July last year, allows the first £500,000 ($697,747) of a purchase to be exempt from the levy. Similar initiatives have been unveiled in Wales and Scotland.

Stamp duty extension: Should Sunak include overseas investors?

With the tax break ending on June 30, tapering down to £250,000 from July 1, there has been a surge in buyers seeking to complete their transactions before the deadline and bag a saving worth up to £15,000.

“We are hearing of conveyancing lawyers working through the night at the moment to try to meet the deadline,” Camilla Dell, managing partner at Black Brick, which helps Middle East investors purchase property in the UK, tells The National.

“However, not all will make it – there are just days to go until the stamp duty holiday ends and over 700,000 transactions going through the conveyancing process.”

While Middle East investors “have certainly benefited” from the tax bonus, Henry Faun, partner and head of Knight Frank’s Middle East private office, says its removal will not dent the “strong appetite for UK property“.

“The holiday has been positive for buyers but when it ends, we see the strong interest for UK property from the Middle East region continuing as normal,” he says.

Tax is already an issue for Middle East investors interested in UK property. The government bumped up the levy for non-resident investors by 2 per cent in April. This was on top of an existing 3 per cent for buying a rental property or second home.

Despite a further tax increase from June 30, Mr Faun says strong demand for UK property “will not be quelled”, with the main drivers for interest being the country’s consistent market, ease of language, a good education system and lifestyle.

One issue actually preventing transactions with Middle East buyers is the UK’s traffic light system for travel, with most countries in the region on the red list, meaning a 10-day hotel quarantine for anyone who intends to fly in to view property.

“There is significant pent-up demand across the Middle East for property in the UK and specifically London,” says Mr Faun.

“While we conduct digital viewings, live tours and 3D property walk-throughs, many clients prefer to travel and view the properties in person before committing to the purchase.”

Ms Dell says the end of the stamp duty holiday will have a negligible effect on the appetite of Middle East investors for UK property as many are unable to travel anywhere, due to them being in red-list countries.

Camilla Dell of Black Brick says a £15,000 saving does not make a huge difference to a Middle East buyer “spending many millions on UK real estate”. Courtesy Black Brick

Those proceeding with deals at the higher end of the spectrum will also be unfazed.

“I do not think a £15,000 saving makes a huge amount of difference to a Middle East buyer spending many millions on UK real estate. They tend to be more concerned about other taxes such as inheritance tax, capital gains tax and, of course, currency rates,” says Ms Dell.

However, the stamp duty deadline is much more of an issue for buyers in the UK rushing to complete deals before the deadline.

Some are resorting to extreme measures to ensure they complete in time, such as cutting corners on essential surveys for flood threats or subsidence.

About 50,000 buyers are at risk of missing the deadline, according to property website Zoopla.

Meanwhile, demand for removal vans has increased by 200 per cent before the deadline, compared to the same time last year, according to website AnyVan. Some buyers are putting possessions in temporary storage as the cost of moving home doubles.

Conveyancers have also raised fees to cope with the surge in demand.

“One thing is abundantly clear: the stamp duty holiday has had a material effect on England’s housing market,” Danni Hewson, A J Bell financial analyst, tells The National.

“Figures from the Office for National Statistics show a record number of transactions across the UK in March as people in England raced to beat the original deadline.”

Mr Sunak introduced the stamp duty holiday in July last year to help bolster the property sector as the UK’s wider economy was hit by the economic fallout of the Covid-19 crisis.

The tax saving and pent-up demand for property sent the market soaring, with property prices rising by 8.5 per cent last year.

The original March 30 deadline for the end of the tax break was extended by Mr Sunak in his latest budget statement to prevent the market from falling off a cliff as the country was still under tight Covid-19 curbs at the time.

In May, prices surged to a high of £261,743 on average, according to the Halifax House Price Index, up 9.5 per cent from the same month a year earlier and equal to £22,000 over 12 months.

With buyers “on a clock once again”, house prices are “on fire”, with more records set to be broken as the June deadline approaches, says Ms Hewson.

The end of the full stamp duty holiday is unlikely to halt momentum either, she says, because the scheme is tapered so that people “snapping up property between £125,000 and £250,000 will still save cash until the end of September”.

Insight – what does the 2% SDLT surcharge mean for overseas investors?

To no-one’s surprise, there haven’t been petitions or concerted pressure from the public, MPs and trade bodies regarding the introduction of an extra 2% stamp duty surcharge on non-UK buyers from April 1 2021.

The surcharge, announced in Chancellor Rishi Sunak’s first Budget last March, was widely expected, although some anticipated it would be higher.

While many operating at the prime end of the property market – where overseas purchasers make up a big chunk of buyers – were unhappy with the introduction of the extra surcharge, there has been no intense lobbying to government to reverse the decision, more of a grudging acceptance.

As mentioned, this isn’t really a surprise when you consider it will mostly be wealthy overseas individuals and companies who will be affected by the change, and public sympathy for such a cause – particularly at this time – would be very low.

That said, it’s not just rich overseas investors who might be impacted by the change. As HMRC concedes in its own policy paper – New rates of Stamp Duty Land Tax for non-UK residents from April 1 2021 – ‘most individuals will be clear as to their residence status for the purposes of SDLT but some individuals with more complex affairs or who have regular periods in and out of the UK may require additional advice and incur additional costs in determining their tax liability’.

What’s more, it adds: ‘Customer experience could be negatively impacted as this measure may create complexity for individuals in establishing the rate at which SDLT is payable on their property purchase. To support, we will produce guidance setting out how individuals can determine their residence status and whether they are entitled to claim a refund.”

“This measure may impact family formation, stability or breakdown by increasing upfront costs for some non-UK residents purchasing a home in England or Northern Ireland. It could affect customer decisions around the type and location of property purchased.”

Expats who have residence or dual-nationality elsewhere, or those who move between countries on a regular basis for work or investment purposes, could find themselves affected. The legislation is likely to prove very technical and nuanced, with some potentially forced to pay the extra stamp duty even when this shouldn’t be the case.

What is being brought in and who is likely to be affected?

The new measure will introduce new rates of stamp duty for buyers of residential property in England and Northern Ireland who are not resident in the UK, and will also affect conveyancers and other professionals who advise on such transactions.

The new rates will be 2% higher than those that apply to purchases made by UK residents, and will apply to purchases of both freehold and leasehold property, as well as increasing SDLT payable on rents on the grant of a new lease. The stamp duty will be on top of the 3% owed on second and buy-to-let homes and the normal rates of stamp duty everyone must pay when purchasing a property in the UK (outside of the current stamp duty holiday, which is set to end on March 31 2021).

Operationally, the measure will apply to land transactions with an effective date of April 1 2021 or later, but where contracts were exchanged prior to March 11 2020 but complete or are substantially performed on or after April 1 2021, transitional rules may apply.

Transitional rules may also apply where a contract is substantially performed on or before March 31 2021 but does not complete until April 1 2021 or later.

As was stated in the Conservative Party’s 2019 manifesto, the revenue raised – previously stated by Sunak to be around £650 million each year – will be put towards tackling rough sleeping, with the main objective of the policy being to make house prices more affordable, ‘helping people get onto and move up the housing ladder in line with wider objectives on homeownership’.

Theresa May first mooted the measure at the Tory Party conference in October 2018, to make it easier for domestic buyers to buy homes that might otherwise go to wealthy individuals or companies from abroad, who then keep them as investments (often known as Buy to Leave) or rent them out at ’inflated’ prices.

Previously, the government pointed to figures which show that 13% of new London homes were bought by non-residents between 2014 and 2016, while it’s also stated that it’s unfair that foreign individuals and companies who do not pay UK tax can buy homes as easily as those who already live here and contribute.

The surcharge introduced in April represents a beefing up of the 1% tax consulted on during Theresa May’s time as Prime Minister, but a slight downgrading of the 3% proposal put forward by the Conservatives during 2019’s election campaign

It was stated that, under those proposals, a wealthy overseas buyer of a £1.5 million home in London would pay £183,750 in stamp duty compared with £93,750 for a Londoner buying the property for their own use.

Brexit has already caused a decline in the number of properties owned by overseas companies in England and Wales, and the future double whammy of Brexit and the 2% surcharge – plus the current travel restrictions caused by Covid – may dissuade overseas investors from investing money into the UK. Equally, some expats who have been living elsewhere and now want to return to the UK may find it much harder to buy without facing increased levels of stamp duty.

We will only know how many people will be affected, and how smooth the system functions, when it has been introduced and has had time to bed in.

There has been no mad rush from overseas investors to purchase homes before the new stamp duty is introduced as of yet. The fact that there will have been more than a year between the announcement of the measure and its implementation has allowed investors plenty of time to prepare, while some suggest it has largely been baked into the market already.

For the prime London market, the pandemic has meant a mixed picture. Astons, an international property and residency consultancy, recently claimed the sold prices of homes in some prime London locations have collapsed by up to 40% during the pandemic, while other prime London postcodes have seen sold prices soar – in one case by 54%.

Knight Frank said at the end of last year that it believed the conclusion of a Brexit deal before the end of the transition period meant that 2021 would see more international buyers in the UK, but that was before Lockdown 3.0 and much tougher border controls and restrictions on travel were introduced. It also seems likely that the extra surcharge will have some kind of dampening effect on the market, as a further deterrent to overseas investment.

How will the market function after the introduction of the 2% surcharge?

Camilla Dell, founder and managing partner of buying agency Black Brick, believes the 2% surcharge for overseas buyers will have some impact.

“It’s unlikely to be the same as we’ve seen before, when typically, stamp duties have been absorbed into the market,” she says.

“There will certainly be some parts of the market that will be more vulnerable to the 2% surcharge from April 1 and will see prices come down in line with the increase. This includes high-density new-builds in secondary/tertiary parts of London which are very much focused on the overseas buyers’ market, for example Battersea Power Station, Canary Wharf and Lillie Square.”

Will the new surcharge along with Covid and Brexit have a dampening impact on overseas investment in Britain moving forward?

“It’s difficult to remember the last time a client asked about what impact Brexit is going to have on the London property market, so we feel this is less of an issue this year,” Dell comments.

“In terms of any impact on pricing, we believe it’s been baked into the market already and prices are unlikely to be affected by Brexit now we’ve left the EU, secured a deal, and established that the hundreds of thousands of people that were predicted to leave the city haven’t.”

She adds: “For our overseas clients, what’s more of a concern to them is the foreign exchange rate and some of that advantage has evaporated for US dollar clients as sterling has strengthened this year.”

In terms of the pandemic, Dell says her clients are not worried about its effect on property prices, ‘it’s more about staying safe on viewings’.

“What we’re seeing is the really serious buyers coming through; gone are the window shoppers, so what we’re seeing are committed and serious domestic and overseas buyers which is really positive,” she continues.

“Despite the current lockdown and new travel restrictions, overseas buyers will still be coming to the UK looking for purchases, including from countries such as the US. The pace at which Black Brick has signed new clients so far this year is extraordinary and a sign that appetite for London property is still strong. Since January 1, Black Brick has acquired six new clients – four from overseas (including the US and Africa) and two from the UK.”

 

London house prices: are there property bargains to be had in the big city?

The magnetism of living in the capital is losing its power. Is now the time to make your move, asks Melissa York

The magnetism of living in the capital is losing its power. Is now the time to make your move, asks Melissa York

To walk around the streets of central London today is to know what it’s like to be in a zombie apocalypse. Streets empty, shops closed, pubs forlorn, the desertion would have been unthinkable only a year ago.

Like the rest of the country, the city is in national lockdown, but what will it look like when restrictions do finally ease? Blinded by the big city lights, will we happily hand over half of our salaries again to live in shoebox flats with no outside space, or will we decide that there’s more to life than theatre and fine dining?

This isn’t just a London problem. In New York, 300,000 residents have fled, many of them to warmer, low-tax states, reports the US Postal Service. The same number could leave our global metropolis, according to PwC’s latest economic outlook paper. It would be the first time that London’s population has fallen since 1988.

And that’s a conservative estimate: a survey by the London Assembly carried out in August — as in, two lockdowns ago — found that 4.5 per cent of Londoners, or 416,000 people, said they would definitely move out of the city within the next 12 months.

Many already have. The number of homeowners buying outside of London hit a four-year high in December, despite the housing market being closed for nearly two months, according to data from estate agency Hamptons International.

As a result, there are more homes on sale. London is the only region in the UK that has seen an increase in supply of new properties coming to market.

Even with buyers rushing to get sales through before the stamp duty holiday deadline, in the first two weeks of the year there were 12 per cent more homes to buy in the capital, says property portal Zoopla; nationally, there were 12 per cent fewer.

Most of these are flats, with owners trading up to houses for more space and investors selling off their buy-to-lets in the face of falling rents amid talk of a change to capital gains tax in the upcoming budget.

 

Space is at a premium now, so bargain hunters are much more likely to get a discount on a flat than a house. At the end of last year the price of a flat in prime London fell 1.3 per cent compared with the same period in 2019, but house prices increased 5.7 per cent, according to data analyst LonRes.

Indeed, there was a 6 per cent rise in the amount spent on houses in London’s top postcodes in 2020 compared with 2019: this in contrast to flats, where purchasers spent 15 per cent less.

One buy-to-let investor we spoke to said he recently bought a one-bedroom former council flat built in the 1980s in Archway, north London, for £374,000. The couple he bought it from, fleeing to the suburbs, paid £420,000 for it in 2016.

“I think it’s a combination of wanting to meet the stamp duty-holiday deadline, outward gentrification and people reaching a certain age and wanting that lifestyle change,” he says. “I believe in London.”

Does this mean values are set to go the same way as rents? Are there, in fact, bargains to be bagged in London?

As always, it depends what you are buying and where. Research by Swiss bank UBS suggests that a third of London listings have had their price reduced, up from a quarter in June.

A heatmap using data from PropCast, which looks at the percentage of homes under offer to see where demand is highest, is flooded by an icy blue all along the central boroughs that line the River Thames.

Drill down into individual boroughs and it’s clear that the highest share of reductions are happening centrally, rather than in the outer London villages. Prices are down as much as 23 per cent in Westminster and 14 per cent in Islington, UBS says.

Buyers looking for discounts, or looking to upgrade to a bigger home, would do well to look in areas where demand has fallen the most since January 2020.

In east London, PropCast data highlights the Olympic Park in Stratford (20 per cent fewer homes under offer) and London Fields (10 per cent) as good places to negotiate. King’s Cross (26 per cent), Camden Town (14 per cent) and Holloway (19 per cent) have seen double digit falls in north London.

South of the river, buyers are going cold on Herne Hill (15 per cent) and Stockwell (18 per cent). Out west, Holborn (30 per cent) and West Kensington (15 per cent) have seen a notable drop-off in buyer demand.

Hamptons International figures show that the competition increases the farther out you go. Overall, London homes are only spending three days longer on the market than other homes in Britain on average. But in Zone One homes are languishing for nine days longer; and in Zone Two they are taking more than a month longer to sell, at 34 days.

With fewer international buyers around, UK investors are snapping up homes in prime locations for a relative steal. Camilla Dell, the founder of buying agency Black Brick, says she’s negotiating on a bulk buy of properties inside Battersea Power Station for a UK buyer, who foresees long-term value there.

One overseas client of hers was looking for a modern two-bedroom flat in Belgravia, central London. Dell says she found one in Ebury Square and watched the value tumble from £4.25 million to £3.7 million. She then negotiated during the last lockdown and knocked another £378,000 off the asking price.

What’s more, house prices in inner London are expected to catch up with those in the suburbs eventually. A five-year forecast by estate agency Savills predicts house price growth of 17.5 per cent by 2024 in London’s poshest postcodes, and growth of 18.1 per cent in the suburbs over the same period.

The long-term value of a central London property is apparent from the number of international owners shelling out large sums to property management companies to look after their empty mansions.

One such business, Eccord, says it is being hired, or being asked to pitch for, one super-luxe property a week, often owned by international families prevented from travelling to the UK as a result of border restrictions.

“A Middle Eastern family appointed us to manage their 10,500 sq ft house in Knightsbridge, which they purchased in March 2020 for £35 million, and are now unlikely to visit for another two years,” says founder Jo Eccles.

A portion of international buyers are buying sight-unseen, but the vast majority are still not prepared to spend millions on a property they cannot view in-person, even to avoid the 2 per cent foreign buyer stamp duty surcharge coming in in April.

Although 300,000 existing Londoners are expected to leave, the same number of British Overseas passport holders in Hong Kong are expected to apply for fast-track British citizenship. Many of these people will be professionals — business-minded — and they will want to live in London.

Investment advisory London Central Portfolio says there has been a 41 per cent increase in traffic from Hong Kong to its website in the past six months and almost 60 per cent of its buyers from the region are looking for a home rather than an investment.

There was similar interest after the British handover of Hong Kong to China in 1997, says Ed Lewis, head of London residential development at estate agency Savills. “What’s distinctive at the moment is that they’re thinking about where they would like to live and the wellbeing of their family.”

With this in mind they are looking at two and three-bedroom apartments, with average budgets around £700,000, says Lewis, putting them firmly in competitive London village territory.

There is increasing evidence that, in the end, this won’t be seen as a flight from the city, but a race to the suburbs. “If you’re a professional that has a budget between £600,000 to £700,000, then I can see how the thought of selling up and having a three- or four-bedroom house outside the city appeals,” says Dell, from Black Brick. “But you make that move at your peril. Will we all be working from home in five years? I doubt it. And once you’re out, it’s a lot harder to get back in.”

Dell says she senses that more homes will come on to the market once the vaccines work their magic because people are put off by restrictive viewings and a less-than ideal sellers’ market.

Even if working from home becomes the norm, the textiles factories of Shoreditch, now some of the city’s most sought-after homes, are testament to London’s rich history of turning commercial space into residential.

“I think people will be desperate to live in the centre again. Every time there has been a partial unlocking, you can’t get a restaurant booking for love nor money,” says Lewis from Savills.” Once this is over, people will remember how cool London is.”

Another overlooked demographic are the millennials and Gen Z, who have been working from home and quietly adding to their deposits for almost a year now.

“Twenty-year-olds are not going to want to sit on Zoom calls in their parents’ house in Surrey any longer than they have to,” Weir says. “They will want to get back here as soon as they can. London has constantly reinvented itself and it will do it again.”

Estate agents report busy January, as buyers rush to beat stamp duty holiday deadline

By Joanna Bourke

A number of estate agents have reported a good performance for January, as buyers raced to get deals over the line before the stamp duty holiday deadline.

The stamp duty holiday, which was launched last July to help boost the housing market following the first lockdown, is due to finish at the end of March.

New data from Nationwide today said annual UK house price growth slowed for the first time in six months in January. It slowed to 6.4% last month, from 7.3% in December.

Robert Gardner, Nationwide’s chief economist, said: “To a large extent, the slowdown probably reflects a tapering of demand ahead of the end of the stamp duty holiday, which prompted many people considering a house move to bring forward their purchase.”

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But some estate agents recorded a busy January as purchasers look to complete deals before March 31, while one housebuilder said demand looks encouraging from buyers unlikely to meet that deadline.

Chestertons said comparing January 2021 to December 2020, it conducted 21% more viewings, and agreed 18% more sales transactions.

Nick Barnes, head of research at Chestertons, said: “Following a record December, the sales market has maintained momentum throughout January.”

Winkworth, which has 60 branches in London, said 2021 got off to a strong start, with the number of sales agreed in January outperforming the Boris bounce of last January when there was a surge in sales following the decisive outcome of the General Election.

Visits to  Winkworth’s  website last month were up 20% year on year.

Meanwhile housebuilder Crest Nicholson’s boss Peter Truscott recently said the company will be monitoring how demand is when the stamp duty holiday finishes at the end of March. But he added: “The evidence so far is we are still making plenty of reservations for completions that go beyond the stamp duty deadline.”

A number of people have reassessed their housing needs during lockdowns, with some wanting more outdoors space for example.

Camilla Dell, managing partner at agent Black Brick, said the company had its busiest January since it was launched in 2007.

How changes to Britain’s stamp duty scheme affect Middle East property investors

By Alice Haine

Buyers that complete purchases before March 31 can make significant savings

When Dubai resident Mohy Shams heard about UK finance minister Rishi Sunak’s stamp duty holiday for residential property purchases last July, he jumped at the opportunity to make a saving.

Briton Mr Shams, who has lived in Dubai since 2014, already owns five properties in the UK and two in the emirate as part of an investment portfolio.

By completing his deals ahead of March 31 when the tax break ends, Mr Shams will only pay £8,400 ($11,497) in Stamp Duty Land Tax (SDLT), on a £100,000 property in Stockton-On-Tees, Country Durham and a £180,000 off-plan home in Bicester Village, Oxfordshire.

After the deadline, not only will the tax holiday disappear, but Mr Shams will also be subject to a 2 per cent surcharge on purchases by non-resident buyers. If he had waited to close the deals, this would have bumped his total tax bill up to £15,100, meaning he will make a total saving of £6,700 by completing earlier.

“The stamp duty holiday encouraged me to pull the trigger before March 31 because I was getting a great deal,” said Mr Shams, a senior executive at a global research company.

Britain’s property industry ended 2020 on a record high, with prices up 7.3 per cent from 2019, according to UK bank Halifax, the highest growth in six years as the property market surged amid a raft of policy measures and a shift in how people want to live.

However, the “stamp duty cliff edge” could see the sector’s services industry lose billions of pounds due to collapsed deals, according to property analysts TwentyCi.

One in five of the 457,358 purchases made subject to contract at the end of 2020 are likely to fall through, while 31,250 of the 125,000 sales agreed this month will likely be abandoned.

Additionally, the end of the holiday has caused a backlog in transactions as the logistics of the housing market have not been able to keep up with demand.

While it is unknown how Mr Sunak will tackle the stamp duty holiday in the March budget, there are calls to make the holiday permanent or scrap the tax altogether.

However, David Hannah, founder and principal consultant of Cornerstone Tax, said this is “unrealistic given the levels of public debt and the £12 billion tax take it generates each year”.

“But having such a strict cut-off point, particularly in such a turbulent and difficult housing market and economic climate could result in a catastrophic drop in demand and prices,” he said.

Under the current tax break, people buying homes worth up to £500,000 in England and Northern Ireland pay no stamp duty, with a reduced rate of between 5 and 12 per cent for homes above that value. For someone buying a £500,000 property, the saving is worth £15,000.

If the property is a buy-to-let or a second home, an additional 3 per cent SDLT applies.

But after March 31 the holiday is scheduled to disappear, with overseas buyers having to also price in the extra 2 per cent surcharge.

“Basically you are paying an extra 5 per cent as an overseas buyer,” said Camilla Dell, managing partner at Black Brick, which helps Middle East investors purchase property in the UK. “This is because they must pay the 3 per cent for buying a buy-to-let or second home as well as the additional 2 per cent.”

Henry Faun, partner and head of Knight Frank’s Middle East private office, said the new surcharge is expected to “apply to non-resident buyers regardless of the type of buyer (e.g. company or individual) subject to very few exceptions for specific collective investment vehicles such as REITs [Real Estate Investment Trusts]”.

Mr Shams, whose portfolio is set up under a limited company, said he will continue to invest in the UK despite the increase.

Other buyers could be put off, says Louise Reynolds, who runs Property Venture, a property agency based in Surrey where she acts as a buying agent for expatriates looking to buy in the UK.

She experienced a flurry of interest from clients hoping to make a saving in the run-up to the SDLT changes.

One Dubai client with a budget of about £250,000 hopes to save £6,700 in stamp duty by getting the deal across the line before March 31.

“The surcharge will really make expat investors think twice. They will be more price sensitive and may well only move if they can get distressed stock to try and compensate for the increase in tax,” said Ms Reynolds.

“All of these fees can be offset against capital gains tax when they exit so it’s not completely lost money but it depends on what their strategy is. Certainly in the high price brackets, it’s going to make a big difference.”

However, Ms Dell said the tax changes will not deter her high net worth buyers who are shopping for central London properties.

“The stamp duty holiday has been a nice to have but it certainly hasn’t made the difference to whether any of my clients want to buy or not,” said Ms Dell, whose clients target properties worth over £1 million.

“Effectively it saves them £15,000 so in the scheme of things it’s not a game changer. The ending of it for my clients is almost irrelevant. It has far more relevance for people buying outside London for below £500,000, where every penny matters, as opposed to the high net worth overseas buyers.”

Instead, Ms Dell said the focus is to beat the deadline for the 2 per cent surcharge coming on April 1 for anyone who is not tax resident in the UK.

“That has far more consequence than the ending of the stamp duty holiday because basically you are paying an extra 5 per cent as an overseas buyer as you have the 3 per cent plus the additional 2 per cent,” she said.

As a result, Ms Dell said the company had a very busy start to the year with six new clients coming on board with a total combined budget of more than £20m.

“I’m seeing really strong levels of demand and trying to do these transactions when you are not living here is a challenge with travel restrictions, quarantine – there are all sorts of barriers,” she said.

“Having said that, London, even with this additional 2 per cent surcharge is still pretty competitive in a global context when you compare property taxes here with New York, Singapore, Hong Kong or Sydney,” she said.

Mr Faun of Knight Frank agreed that his UK-focused clients will be unfazed by the tax changes.

“If there is an additional closing cost, we expect our clients who may currently take a five to 10 or more years investment horizon to extend this a little,” he said.

“The demand for homes in London and the UK is an emotional purchase for Middle Easterners to use for themselves and their families to enjoy whilst in the UK, usually on holiday. For the relatively small changes coming up, we do not foresee this having a significantly dampening impact on the demand for UK homes.”

Post-pandemic city exodus? These property hotspots are bucking the trend

By Liz Rowlinson

City living has suffered during the pandemic, but some village-like pockets have thrived

In the past year, many of us who live in towns or cities have been forced to embrace a more local way of life. Working from home, we’ve become regulars at our local coffee shops, or at neighbourhood businesses we rarely used before, patronising those on our doorstep instead of rushing off to the office for a Pret al desko.

This idea of communities that offer everything we need within a quarter of an hour’s walk, without getting in a car – the so-called “15-minute city” – is the dream of many town planners. It has been created anew in the community of Poundbury in Dorset, championed by the Prince of Wales, and is being sketched out in Fawley Waterside, a project it inspired on the site of a former power station in Southampton.

Prince Charles embraced the term “urban village” 20 years ago, yet there are dozens of vibrant villages within cities that have evolved organically. Many have become highly desirable places to live, even before the pandemic accentuated the appeal of “staying local”.

Properties in such areas can cost nearly double the average house price of their city, according to data from estate agency Savills. While the current property boom has been characterised by buyers fleeing urban life for more rural or suburban areas, small pockets of cities are holding their own.

Frances Clacy, of Savills, said: “Rather than turn their backs on the ambience and amenities of the city altogether, there are signs that some buyers want the best of both worlds.” Here, we find some of the best 15-minute cities.

Manchester

Just four miles south of the city centre is Didsbury, an area that is big enough to offer more than the one village. While East Didsbury is the most affordable option, there is also Didsbury Village and West Didsbury. In the latter, the average house price is £336,494, according to Savills.

Helen Tabor and her family have lived in the area for 12 years. “West Didsbury is more bohemian, with many independent shops on Burton Road, while the Village is more family-orientated,” she said.

With three parks, good schools, sports clubs and the famous “Didsbury Dozen” pubs, there is enough on the village’s doorstep to make the 40-minute peak-time drive into the centre of Manchester a rare event. “During lockdown, sitting outside the café in Fletcher Moss Park along the river has helped us keep our sanity,” said Mrs Tabor, 50.

There are plenty of late Victorian homes to choose from, with two-bedroom flats for sale from around £400,000, three-bedroom semis at £550,000 and new detached six-bedroom houses up to £2.45m. These prices are far higher than comparable suburbs around Manchester.

Sheffield

West of Sheffield city centre are the villages of Dore and Totley. Here, buyers pay a hefty premium to live in this ancient rural enclave on the edge of the Peak District that is popular with families for the Ofsted “Outstanding” rated schools (local resident and Olympic athlete Jessica Ennis-Hill is an alumna of King Ecgbert secondary).

Dore and Totley have all the amenities necessary to make sure you rarely have to leave: pubs, Indian restaurants, the all-important fish and chip shop, a hairdresser and a car mechanic. A train from Dore and Totley Station is only six minutes into Sheffield.

Katrina Wooltorton rents in Dore with her boyfriend, Jon, who has recently graduated from university. “Within five minutes, you are into Ecclesall Woods, or it’s only 10 to the village of Hathersage, sitting in the beautiful Hope Valley in the Peak District,” said Ms Wooltorton, 23. “We love the community feel of Dore.”

However, it’s not great for first-time buyers. “When we buy our first home, it will need to be in a more affordable area – such as the village of Dronfield – before we hope to move back again.”

To buy a small detached house, you’ll need £450,000, according to James Ross, of agent Eadon Lockwood & Riddle. “We are seeing a lot more buyers from down south. The market for three-bedroom houses at £350,000 to £500,000 is really strong, but you can pay up to £2m.”

Bristol

In northern Bristol, separated from fashionable Clifton by the thoroughfare of Whiteladies Road, is Redland, another popular village within a city. Chandos Road is cherished for its restaurant scene, although the Michelin-starred Wilks has shut permanently because of the pandemic.

Good local schools will continue to draw families, said Francine Watson, of estate agent Knight Frank. “You get more for your money, plus bigger gardens and more off-street parking in Redland than in Clifton,” she said. Family homes cost £600,000 to £1.4m.

London

The capital is fringed with urban villages that have recorded some of the highest levels of activity within the city during the pandemic. Camilla Dell of Black Brick, a buying agency, said: “Buyers that might have bought in central London have been looking at Richmond-upon-Thames, Kew, Wimbledon, Chiswick, Hampstead, East Sheen and Dulwich. Access to parks has become more crucial.”

Dulwich, in south-east London, has been especially popular since the pandemic started, although the area has always been in demand, with house prices steadily growing.

The average property value in the area grew 1,150pc between 1995 and 2017, which was the highest in the UK, according to Knight Frank.

The area has an abundance of parks, and while the hub of Dulwich Village has Gail’s Bakery and the Crown and Greyhound pub, there are more shops and restaurants along Lordship Lane in nearby East Dulwich.

A good choice of independent schools is another draw, but state options such as the Charter School North Dulwich and Dulwich Hamlet Junior School are also pulling buyers from outside the area, said Christoper Burton, of Knight Frank. “The family house market in Dulwich Village is around £1.4m, but you get more value for money in East Dulwich, where there are plenty of smaller Victorian terraces from £700,000.”

Further west, sandwiched between the River Thames and the green spaces of Sheen Common and Richmond Park, is East Sheen. It has everything you may need: a Waitrose, a library, cafés such as Valentina Italian Deli and great schools, which is just as well as this area of west London is not very well connected.

Demand for East Sheen Primary and Sheen Mount Primary keeps property prices up, and values are higher “Parkside” – close to Richmond Park, said Michael Randall, of Savills.

“You’ll pay over £1.2m for a four-bedroom family house in the school catchment areas, or £1.7m to £2.5m for one of the bigger Edwardian houses near Richmond Park,” he said.

“But people love this area as you tend to get bigger gardens and more lateral space than in nearby Barnes or Richmond. Buyers coming out of central London like the slightly slower pace of life.” And it looks like they will pay a premium for it, too.

Village feel and green appeal lure homebuyers to Dulwich

The growth in sales was strong over the summer, but activity is waning as the end of the stamp duty holiday draws closer?

On Crystal Palace Road in East Dulwich, there’s a new resident: Albus Dumbledog. He’s the golden retriever puppy that Cat Hughes and Kieran Holmes-Darby, a couple in their twenties, bought last month — and one reason for their recent move to this area of south London.

“It got to the point where a one-bedroom flat wasn’t big enough, and we’d saved up some money with some help from the family so were looking around London for a two-bed with a private garden because we wanted to get a dog,” says Holmes-Darby, who moved with Hughes one month ago from Crouch End in north London.

Sitting just south-east of Brixton, Dulwich has excellent schools and an urban village environment — spacious period houses, woods, parks and even a golf club — which have given it a timeless appeal to those looking to settle down, upsize and have a slice of countryside life while keeping one foot in the big city.

In the third quarter of 2020, the average property price in Dulwich was £815,229, up 7 per cent from the end of 2019, according to Land Registry data. The Countrywide group, which owns Hamptons International and other agents, says it has sold 65 per cent more homes in Dulwich in 2020 than in 2019, largely thanks to a summer boom: between July and September, sales were up 100 per cent, but have dropped since.

“It’s so popular at the moment because we’ve seen this real need for a sense of community — a high street and outside space,” says Caspar Harvard-Walls, partner at buying agent Black Brick. “People want to be a part of the area they’re moving to. They want to know people on their high street — who the butcher is, say hi to the guy they get their coffee from.”

Mel Carter, head of Dulwich sales for Hamptons, says a number of buyers had been considering areas like Clapham, but switched to Dulwich for something “a bit more rural” after being cooped up over lockdown. The prime spot is Dulwich Village, with its white wooden fingerpost signs and enormous Georgian mansions.

Neighbouring East Dulwich attracts a slightly younger crowd, as more of the homes are smaller terraced houses or flats, and its organic grocery stores and cafés adjoin the buzzier Peckham.

While those spending millions for homes in the village are unlikely to be greatly affected by the UK’s stamp-duty holiday — saving buyers up to £15,000 — for Holmes-Darby and Hughes, it helped offset the cost of an extra bedroom and a garden for Albus Dumbledog.

“Being in lockdown in a one-bedroom flat without a garden made us really realise we do need more space, and the stamp-duty holiday really accelerated the process because it made it more financially viable,” says Holmes-Darby.

Many move to Dulwich so their children can attend its top public and state schools. But Sam Lloyd, a 25-year-old hockey player, needed to be close to them for a different reason — his girlfriend is a teacher at Alleyn’s, one of several well-regarded private schools, including Dulwich College and James Allen’s Girls’ School.

Lloyd, originally from Derbyshire, says it’s a “nice halfway house” between the countryside and the rest of London. “Dulwich is more hectic, obviously, than Derbyshire but it’s got a proper village feel about it, so it’s the best of both worlds.”

That village feel is largely maintained by the Dulwich Estate, a charity set up in 1619 that owns 1,500 acres of land and controls development in the area. “There’s a terrific shortage of property in Dulwich,” says Gareth Martin of Harvey & Wheeler, an independent agent. “There’s been a little bit of building but not a huge amount, and you’ve got these huge green spaces that will probably never be built on.”

One recent change has ruffled feathers in the village, however. To increase space for pedestrians and reduce air pollution, Southwark council has closed some residential cut-through roads, as well as the junction between Calton Avenue and Court Lane in Dulwich Village.

While some approve, others say it is a nuisance that increases congestion on already busy roads and has left some residents spending hours taking the long route round to access residential roads near the closure. “I have had one or two people saying I don’t want to be in that location because of the road closure,” says Carter, who’s hoping the scheme is disbanded.

Road closures aside, activity in the local market has slowed, with England in its third national lockdown and the stamp-duty holiday due to end in March. By the end of 2020, the average price in Dulwich was £816,418, only marginally up on the third quarter, according to Hamptons’ Land Registry data.

“It’s by no means dead but it’s perhaps a little quieter than we’d expect at this time of year,” says Carter. “Maybe a lot of people just don’t want to look at houses at the moment, they feel that it’s just not appropriate and they’d rather wait till after the vaccine,” she adds.

Buying guide:

  • Dulwich is in the London borough of Southwark, where the annual council tax for homes in the top tax band is £2,881.
  • Dulwich does not have a London Underground stop, but there are National Rail services to North Dulwich, East Dulwich and West Dulwich.
  • In the past decade, the average property price in Dulwich has increased by just over 66 per cent; across London, the average has increased 61 per cent.

What you can buy for . . .

  • £4.3m A five-bedroom Grade II-listed family home with a large garden and a carriage driveway, just across the road from Dulwich College
  • £2.45m A six-bedroom, double-fronted detached Victorian house with a large garden and conservatory in West Dulwich
  • £730,000 A two-bedroom Victorian house with a south-facing garden in East Dulwich

How will the PCL property market fair in 2021?

By Nicholas Wallwork

The UK property market, like everything else, has been affected by COVID-19. As we head into 2021, we have to question what’s in store for the Prime Central London (PCL) market as we face Brexit, COVID-19 and the new 2% stamp duty surcharge for non-UK buyers.

One question many property investors and developers will have is how Brexit will impact the PCL? Caspar Harvard-Walls, a partner at buying agency Black Brick, highlights that the most prominent effect of Brexit so far has been the strengthening of the sterling against the US Dollar; from $1.22 to £1 on April 4th 2020 to more than $1.35 to £1 today. This change in the exchange rate cannot be attributed solely to Brexit, but it is crucial for international property developers and investors. 

For example, if an American investor purchased £1 million worth of sterling on April 4th last year, it would have cost them $1,227,430. However, at the end of January 6th 2021, this £1 million would be worth £1,360,000. This is an increase of over £132,000 in just nine months. With the new 2% stamp duty surcharge for non-UK buyers coming into effect in April 2021, this gain in money would more than cover these costs – as well as the 3% surcharge if it was a second home.

So, we understand the impact of Brexit on PCL, but what about the other colossal cloud looming over our heads right now – COVID-19? Caspar suggested that 2021 will be a year of two halves – the first six months will see minimal buying and selling activity. He predicts that many sellers will wait until summer when he expects to see the last 12 months’ property demands to influence the PCL’s pricing and volumes.

With travel bans and restrictions in place worldwide, the market is expected to stay quiet for the next six months. As a result, only the most desperate to sell will place their properties on the market. Whether or not someone will bite during these uncertain months can not be predicted. Instead, the first half of 2021 is expected to be centred around the domestic buyer – people looking for gardens for isolation, good parking and nearby attractions to visit when restrictions ease.

However, once the travel restrictions are lifted, the latter half of the year should see an increase in the number of international buyers looking to develop and invest. This means people looking to invest in property in PCL have a six-month window that has already started. The next six months present the opportunity to buy property without the typical competitive global market.

Assessing the impact of the 2% stamp duty surcharge for international buyers, we also have to question whether this additional cost will make Britain look less attractive to foreign investment. Caspar suggests that in the global context, the UK’s property tax regime is not extreme, and there are many other countries which are most expensive to purchase property in. While it is expected that some buyers will see the increase in stamp duty as enough to ward them off purchasing UK property, especially PCL property, for most it will not be enough to prevent them from investing. In fact, Caspar has even highlighted how many of his clients have responded to the COVID-19 pandemic by looking at their property investments as not just assets, but as an essential part of the health and happiness of their families.

From private chalets to penthouses: property trends for the ultra rich in 2021

Will it be a £66m penthouse or a two-bed home on a remote Greek island? Experts predict what the ultra rich will be investing in for 2021

By Zoe Dare Hall

After a tumultuous year, what lies in store for London’s prime property market in 2021? And where will the wealthy be looking to invest? The experts share their knowledge.

London calling

For many City workers no longer needed at their desks, 2020 was about an escape to the country. 2021 will see the reverse, thinks Camilla Dell, managing partner at Black Brick buying agency. “Half of them stayed commutable in the Home Counties. The other half moved to Somerset, which is risky if you are suddenly called back to your desk at 8am tomorrow,” says Dell.

Most didn’t sell up in London, though; they just bought the country house too – which is just as well because in 2021, “the masses will flood back to the city,” Dell adds.

Post-Covid – or, at least, post-vaccine – London will also see the return of overseas buyers. For UK buyers with serious money, their absence currently opens up opportunities in prime central areas such as Mayfair and Belgravia. “Apartment prices in central London’s golden postcodes have fallen by 8.2% in five years and houses are down by 1%. There are no viewings taking place and none of the usual audience is here. But by next summer, it will be more competitive again,” says Dell.

Some foreign buyers will feel compelled to tie up purchases before that, though, as April sees the introduction of an extra 2% stamp duty for non-UK residents. “We currently have two overseas UHNW buyers who are unwilling to travel at the moment. One has a budget of £40m-£60m for a family house, so will save at least £1m if he buys before April,” says Marc Schneiderman, Director at Arlington Residential in St John’s Wood.

Wealthy UK-based buyers are keeping the super-prime market ticking over nicely until foreign buyers can travel again, though. “Despite the vaccine, expect more house moves, upgrades and a continued search for space in 2021,” says Liam Bailey, global head of research at Knight Frank. “London is seeing a surge in demand for larger houses. The £10m+ market is very strong and this strength will continue into 2021.”

End-user buyers will be looking for areas with easy access for weekend escape – given many have invested in holiday homes in England instead of abroad this year. That trend is already in evidence Television Centre in White City, where a number of owners flee to their Cotswolds homes every Friday. Flats in the latest Architects Series cost from £3.4m through Savills.

East London is also “one to watch”, says Camilla Dell – and handy for a weekend home on the Suffolk coast. “People who wanted to live in leafy parts of north London – especially those working in the media or tech – now prefer to be East,” says Dells. Long & Waterson in Shoreditch – with apartments from £715,000-£2.16m through Savills – is just the kind of new development they’ll like, she thinks.

Ultra-prime London launches

London has its fair share of landmark schemes launching, or completing, in 2021 – and views over Hyde Park are a common theme.

Mayfair Park Residences sees the world’s first Dorchester Collection homes, with Clivedale’s scheme of 25 apartments and townhouses on Park Lane – priced from £4.25m – overlooking Hyde Park. They have access to the adjacent Dorchester hotel’s services, whether it’s 2am mojitos delivered to your door, use of the 10,000 sq ft health club, or dinner at Wolfgang Puck’s first European restaurant, CUT.

On the park’s Bayswater side, Fenton Whelon’s Park Modern sees 57 new one-to-six bedroom residences overlooking the park and Kensington Palace Gardens. Prices start at £1.95m through Knight Frank.

And in late Spring, expect completion of the £66m penthouse at The Bryanston, Almacantar’s new super-prime parkside scheme in Marble Arch. Other apartments in the high-rise designed by Rafael Viñoly start at £2.6m.

Among the historic landmarks undergoing transformation is The OWO, formerly known as The Old War Office, which will be home to London’s first Raffles hotel and 85 Raffles-branded residences. No prices have been released yet, but with its historical pedigree, prime St James’s location and kudos of being Raffles’ first ever branded scheme, these will be properties to watch.

The Herculean task of reinventing Battersea Power Station reaches a pivotal point in Spring 2021, as it’s when the first residents will move into the reinvented Grade II* listed Power Station. The development also sees the opening of the new Northern Line tube station in Autumn.

Brand new but inspired by the Georgian proportions of Thomas Cubbit’s historic Belgravia homes that surround it, Qatari Diar’s Chelsea Barracks launches its townhouse collection, with the six-storey properties priced from £38m. Each house features a swimming pool that runs under the entire length of the garden, and some have their own mews house.

Alpine hotspots

In early 2020, ski resorts were considered Ground Zero for Covid in Europe, but in 2021 they will be among the hottest places to invest. What we buy – and how we use it – is changing, though.

While old-style après-ski is out of the question because of the virus, buyers want to bring the party back home, so large private chalets are in hot demand, “especially those with five-star entertaining areas and wellness facilities,” says Giles Gale, founding director at Alpine Property Finders. With the catered chalet model also largely impossible, and the communal aspect of hotels out of favour, in-chalet/apartment hotel services are on the rise, says Gale. He suggests Manali Lodge in Courchevel 1650, a new luxury apart-hotel residence, where three-bed apartments cost from €2.02m.

Ski properties aren’t just for Christmas any more, either. Month-long or even entire-season stays will become more popular next year, with work-from-home culture rife among wealthy digital nomads on the slopes, says Jeremy Rollason, head of Savills Ski. Many will seek a large, lateral rental apartment first, so they can try before they buy.

Buyers shouldn’t expect many bargains in the leading resorts, though. “Covid has increased our appreciation for the natural environment and prices in the top 10 resorts have increased by an average of 7.2% this year, despite the pandemic,” says Rollason. Courchevel 1850 tops the prime price league at €25,000/m2 – making it 60% more expensive than prime Paris.

For price growth and new development opportunities, Knight Frank tip the French Alpine resort of Saint-Martin-de-Belleville in 2021, overtaking last year’s winner, Val d’Isere. The small Swiss resorts of Grimentz and Champery will also be in demand, says Knight Frank’s head of Swiss Alpine sales, Alex Koch de Gooreynd. “International buyers are looking at Switzerland as a permanent base because of its handling of the crisis and the lifestyle it offers. The appeal of owning a Swiss property is now strengthening too with interest rates negative and Swiss banks effectively charging clients to store their capital,” he says.

Hotspots for sun, sand and sea lovers

Marbella is ensuring it looms large on the super-rich radar in 2021 with the launch of Epic Marbella, Fendi Casa’s first ever European scheme of branded residences. The 56 apartments of up to 1,000m2, plus 400m2 terraces with private pools, cost from €2.5m-€7.5m and sit on a prime seaview spot on the Golden Mile, near Puerto Banus. There are Fendi touches throughout, from logoed wardrobe handles to rugs, and the five-star amenities include the biggest swimming pool in a European residential development, according to developer Carlos Rodriguez of Sierra Blanca Estates.

Barbados has also sealed its place in the spotlight in the coming year as the 2020 launch of its Barbados Welcome Stamp – a 12-month work visa, costing $2,000 per person and aimed at digital nomads – has proved a big PR coup for the island. So far, three quarters of international relocators are first-time visitors to the Caribbean island and aged under 45, according to Terra Caribbean.

For those seduced into buying, Apes Hill, under new ownership, re-opens in November after a £24m upgrade. It promises to be “the best golfing experience in the Caribbean” and include a new club house, a fitness and paddle sports centre, farm shop and three/four bed villas from £1.15m.

Greece is also garnering a reputation as a UHNW hotspot with such five-star branded schemes as Amanzoe – where two-bed villas cost from €3.2m and – launching in 2021, by the same developers, Dolphin Capital, in partnership with Kerzner International – the One&Only Resort on Kea Island, with turnkey two-bed homes from €3m. The Kilada Country Club, near Amazone in Porto Heli, is another Dolphin Capital resort on its way, with 260 golf residences set around a Jack Nicklaus course.

Greece also offers the most affordable Golden Visa programme in Europe – newly-relevant to British investors as we wave goodbye to the EU.

The year the UK housing market defied gravity

The year the UK housing market defied gravity

But there are reasons to believe that the ‘mini boom’ will not survive into 2021

By Nathan Brooker

Aside from all else, 2020 has been the year that really put our homes through the wringer. The pressures of homeworking and schooling have pummelled them into submission. In our flat, the clutter has taken over: boxed and unboxed monitors crowd every table, laptops teeter on piles of books and sprouting from every corner is a tangled mass of cables, unclearable, like a bad case of Japanese knotweed.

At the start of lockdown, a colleague tweeted that we weren’t so much working from home, as living at work. He was right — except that in the office, the neighbours aren’t banging and crashing all day as they extend into the loft. Back in April, after the first lockdowns took hold in Europe, the UK and the US, worldwide Google searches for “DIY” hit record highs.

Sales of premium paint brands such as Farrow & Ball have surged; the managing director of Mylands paint even took a forklift truck driving test so that he could help shift orders.

Bitten by the home-improvement bug, my wife and I rearranged all the furniture in our living room. A couple of weeks ago, we moved it all back. Turns out there is no way of placing a sofa that will make a room bigger by 30 sq ft. Our homes have become everything to us this year: offices, schoolrooms, restaurants, weekend retreats — it is no wonder we’re sick to death of them. This is a level of contempt usually reserved for the weeks following Christmas when, after being cooped up with our families for days on end, traffic on property portals begins to rise.

Between December 26 last year and January 8, the number of daily visits to Rightmove increased by 71 per cent. This year is different, of course, but Camilla Dell, managing partner at buying agents Black Brick, still thinks people will find the time for some mindless festive scrolling. “This time of year people are always drawn to the portals for some good old ‘property porn’ — and perhaps this year more than ever as, let’s face it, there isn’t much else to do,” she says. “But, whether this will translate into a flurry of new transactions in the new year remains to be seen. I think a lot of people wanting to make a move this year already have.” Estate agents have come to celebrate the beginning of the year as
one of the busier times of the calendar.

But at the start of 2021, the “mini boom” in the UK property market might start petering out, as a series of government schemes that have helped shield house prices from the economic realities of the coronavirus crisis are withdrawn. The stamp-duty holiday — which waives the charge on the first £500,000 of any home purchase, saving buyers up to £15,000 — is due to end on March 31.

When it was announced on July 8, about 8.5m people logged on to Rightmove to see what was on offer; it was the portal’s busiest day of the year. The end of March is also when the business loan schemes are set to close, and new applications for the mortgage-holiday programme. A month later, the worker-furlough scheme will end.

We are, thankfully, in the process of rolling out the coronavirus vaccine, but it is anyone’s guess how long the UK property market can continue its gravity-defying run — which, given the fact that the UK is facing the worst economic
recession in 300 years, is a source of perpetual bemusement.

Last month, the average house price was 7.6 per cent higher than in November 2019, according to Halifax, the strongest annual growth rate for four years. Even now, the booming market is not being felt by everyone. Many first-time buyers have had their dreams upended by the impact of the pandemic on their incomes and savings. Many of them have struggled to get financing, as lenders have reduced the availability of higher loan-to-value mortgages — though this is slowly coming back.

Above all, I am reminded of the homeowners I spoke to this year who have had to put their lives on hold because they have been caught up in the cladding crisis.

One campaign group estimates that 1.93m people in England cannot sell their flats because they need a new fire-safety certificate, known as an EWS1 form, before lenders will offer mortgages to any would-be buyers. Among them, there will be thousands, perhaps hundreds of thousands, who must face spending this Christmas in homes they
do not feel safe in.

It rather puts a few monitors and unruly cables into perspective.